Unpaid Commentary

12.02.2002
 
Kerry Admits to Committee

First it was Al Sharpton. Then it was Vermont governor Howard Dean. And now at last, John Kerry has upped the pressure on the 21st century Andrew Jackson: Al Gore. Kerry announced he will set up an exploratory committee to seek the Democratic nomination for the Presidency. This puts pressure on Gore and Southerner sweetheart John Edwards to move. Gore is set to host Saturday Night Live in two weeks, but he may yet wait until 2003 to make his announcement. Whether or not stated, most campaigns will have to be viable by August of 2003 to be ready for an ever-earlier primary season.
By announcing early, Kerry may sap fundraising dollars from his regional rival, Howard Dean. However, the Doctor is about to be freed from his day to day duties in Montpellier. This means he can spend a lot more time in New Hampshire than Kerry. This is not to say that it isn’t easier to get from Boston to Manchester. When Congress is not in session you can be sure Kerry will be canvassing the state. However Dean is empowered by new FEC guidelines that allow him to collect a salary from his campaign.
So at least at the moment expect Dean to hit the more rural areas of the state in the early going with Kerry hoping to hit its more urban ones. Al Sharpton meanwhile has a problem on his hands. Iowa has Iowa City, which is 14% to use as his proscenium for the straw poll. New Hampshire on the other hand is 2% black. No city or township is more than 3% black. At least South Carolina has a healthy population of African Americans along with Richmond, Virginia.
The other detail that is significant is John Kerry’s reliance on the trial lawyers lobby for money. It was stated that John Edwards the protégé of this lobby in the primary, yet Kerry early entrance again might mean slimmer pickings for the boy senator from North Carolina. At least there are more lawyers than African-Americans in New Hampshire.


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